作者：平安戏成 来源：原创 发布日期：08-25
A | 昨天，杭州告别了之前的短暂晴好，一早便上演了“变脸”大戏，前一秒还是白云飘飘，后一秒就乌云压顶，阵雨随机出现。同时，副热带高压断裂，气温收起了往日的“嚣张”，主城区最高温仅31.1℃。 "I think a lot of people have been very surprised, not least in the Armed Forces themselves have been very surprised to hear that there has been a particularly strong positive discrimination in favour of ethnic minorities in the Royal Air Force," Matthew Gordon-Banks, a former Tory lawmaker and retired senior research fellow at the UK’s Defence Academy, explained.,Gordon-Banks suggested that neither the UK Army nor the Royal Navy lack appropriate diversity: "We've seen considerable changes in recent years in our army and even those soldiers who guard the Queen on ceremonial duties ̶ we're seeing a wide range of ethnic minorities also serving, not just white faces," he said.,However, the RAF has possibly become the least attractive service given the fact that the UK has reduced its number of planes and ships, according to the former British lawmaker. He does not rule out that the RAF is "suffering from recruitment problems which have exacerbated the potential lack of diversity at the current time.",‘The Biggest F*** Up in the RAF': UK's Training of Fast Jet Pilots in Crisis, Leaked Docs Claim6 August, 11:14 GMT,Gordon-Banks went on to recall that the head of the British Armed Forces, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, "made clear that he wanted the Royal Air Force chiefs to make diversity a priority” in his very first speech as the combined head of the Army, Royal Navy and Royal Air Force in December 2021.,"So that means, in my view, that the combined head of our Armed Forces is the person who actually started this particular issue," Gordon-Banks claimed. "And the head of the Royal Air Force, Chief Marshal Sir Michael Wigston, subsequently committed to doubling the number of women to 40% in the RAF by 2030 and also having 20% ethnic minorities serving in our Air Force. And this seems to be a target which has been described as too far, too fast, and in pursuing it, it actually puts diversity targets ahead of ensuring what is best for our Armed Forces operational effectiveness.",Gordon-Banks emphasized that he would be the first to say that having a good ethnic minority and diverse mix in the Armed Forces which reflects the multicultural kind of country that the UK is, is a positive thing. However, it should not come at the expense of operational effectiveness, the former Tory politician noted.,The head of the RAF’s recruiting team – herself a senior female officer whose identity has not been disclosed – recently resigned "in disgust at what reports claim is the imposition of a de facto recruitment freeze on white men in favour of women and candidates from an ethnic minority background," according to the Daily Mail.,"The very idea that a female group captain, head of recruitment of the Royal Air Force, has felt it necessary to tender her resignation because she believes that operational effectiveness is being hindered by an alleged stopping of recruitment of white faced recruits in order to boost ethnic minority recruitment is clearly ridiculous, and that such a senior officer should feel it necessary to tender her resignation highlights a very serious issue, but it's an issue which is being created by the very head of our Combined Armed Forces, Admiral Tony Radakin himself," highlighted Gordon-Banks.,WorldRAF Recruitment Head Reportedly Resigns After Service Temporarily Stops Hiring White Men17 August, 05:57 GMT,"Then you look at the head of the RAF and he's prepared to break the operational requirement of the air force just to meet diversity [targets]," one source said, as quoted by Sky News. Sources within the British Armed Forces have argued that these diversity targets are "impossible.",Former Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak, a contender to become the UK's prime minister, has recently commented on the emerging controversy. "The only thing that should matter in recruitment is the content of your character, not your sex or the colour of your skin," a spokesperson for the Sunak campaign said. "That the Ministry of Defence would allow Britain's security to potentially be put at risk by a drive for so-called 'diversity' is not only disgraceful, it is dangerous.",For its part, the RAF disputed the allegations, insisting that there is no pause in RAF recruitment and no new policy with regards to meeting in-year recruitment requirements, according to Sky News.,"What we should be doing in the UK is ensuring that we are recruiting the best irrespective of ethnicity," Gordon-Banks concluded.。接下来，随着东风带系统逐渐影响，降水成为天气舞台“主角”，这个周末大概率要“泡汤”。据浙江天气网消息，未来七天，天气剧本“跌宕起伏”。今天雨水继续在沿海地区“加戏”，部分大到暴雨、个别大暴雨；明天降水范围还将进一步扩大，部分地区中到大雨、局部暴雨；有雷雨的地区，短时暴雨和7-9级雷暴大风仍是“标配”。杭州市气象台预计，未来三天多阵雨或雷雨天气，其中，今天中午到夜里局部有短时暴雨，雷雨时局地有6～8级雷雨大风等对流性天气。一直到周日，浙江将处在副热带高压的边缘，东风气流依旧活跃，风力不小，天气则在晴雨之间来回切换。好在，气温相对温和，最高气温维持在30~33℃之间，体感尚算舒适。值得注意的是，真正的“转折”等到下周二后期至下周三（25—26日）——副热带高压将再次“卷土重来”，北抬西伸，阳光重新成为舞台主角，全省以多云天气为主，午后仅偶有分散性雷阵雨“客串”。届时，熟悉的“晴热配方”又将回归，气温再度攀升，部分地区最高气温或将突破35℃高温线。
B | 除了眼前的雨热变化，天气舞台上的“捣蛋鬼”也蠢蠢欲动。据中国天气网消息，目前，西太平洋上有多个热带系统正在活跃，其中南海热带低压和台湾东侧热带扰动距离较近，今年第18号台风“沙德尔”较远，但强度较强。未来“沙德尔”将怎么发展？会不会直奔江浙沪？中国天气网表示，“沙德尔”自周三上午生成后一直保持热带风暴级别，但今天开始强度将不断升级，预计最强可达超强台风级，目前“沙德尔”距离较远，未来5天对我国海域暂无影响。
C | 不过，下周三（26日）之后，“沙德尔”可能会经过琉球群岛移入我国东海，随后或在华东沿海登陆，或折向偏北方向移动。
D | 中国天气网气象分析师唐晓静表示，“沙德尔”后期路径主要取决于副热带高压的强度和形态。若北方冷空气南下，迫使副热带高压东退并减弱，“沙德尔”会被其引导北上远离我国；若副热带高压维持目前的带状形态，则将阻挡它向北移动，从而西行直奔我国华东沿海。预计要到下周，台风“沙德尔”的走势才会明朗，请保持密切关注。另外，截至目前，今年以来西北太平洋和南海共有18个台风生成，比常年同期明显偏多，其中有4个登陆我国。
E | 若8月底“沙德尔”登陆我国，登陆总数将上升至5个，将超过常年同期。从中国天气网盘点的历史数据来看，西北太平洋和南海一年四季都可能有台风生成，8月台风生成的数量与登陆我国的个数均居于全年首位。
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Published on:10:44:04